油气储运多米诺效应定量风险分析研究

来源 :第二届油气田地面工程技术交流大会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户：yaozi303

【摘要】

：

介绍了多米诺效应的定义和评价流程,总结了国内外的相关研究成果,分析了风险评价中使用到的热辐射、超压、碎片对设备损坏概率的计算模型,认为模型对影响因素的考虑不够全面,影响了评价结果的准确性,提出了未来应关注的研究方向.通过多米诺场景概率计算出人员伤亡概率,可以为事故的救援工作提供支持.为完善国内的风险评价,应当逐步在制定规范时对多米诺效应的评价提出要求,根据评价结果采取相应措施,中断初始事故的扩展蔓

【作者】

：

程福松侯磊

【机构】

：

中国石油大学(北京)油气管道输送安全国家工程实验室中国石油大学(北京)城市油气输配技术北京市重点

【出处】

：

第二届油气田地面工程技术交流大会

【发表日期】

：

2015年4期

【关键词】

：

油气储运多米诺效应风险评价计算模型

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油气储运多米诺效应定量风险分析研究

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