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本文以国家提出“丝绸之路经济带”为研究背景,从实证分析的角度出发,运用贸易互补性指数和恒定市场份额模型研究了中国与中亚国家双边贸易的互补性及发展潜力,并对双边贸易增长的影响因素进行了深入分析。结果表明:双边在特定产品贸易上互补性明显,发展潜力较大,而且规模效应和竞争效应均在不同层次对双边各自出口的增长发挥了重要的作用。据此文章对中国与中亚国家双边贸易的发展提出了具体建议,以推动丝绸之路经济带的新发展。
Based on the background of “the Silk Road Economic Belt” put forward by the country, this paper studies the complementarities and development potential of bilateral trade between China and Central Asia countries from the perspective of empirical analysis using the trade complementarity index and the constant market share model, And conducted an in-depth analysis of the influencing factors of bilateral trade growth. The results show that both sides have obvious complementarities in the trade of certain products and great potential for development, and both the scale effect and the competition effect play an important role in the growth of their respective bilateral exports at different levels. Accordingly, the article made specific suggestions on the development of bilateral trade between China and Central Asian countries in order to promote the new development of the Silk Road Economic Belt.