为稳定生猪市场、降低养殖户生猪养殖风险,笔者首先对2000—2014年我国猪肉价格波动和生猪出栏量变化的现状进行分析;然后运用时间序列分析方法,实证分析我国猪肉价格波动与生猪出栏量变化的动态关联性。基于结论提出推进生猪规模化养殖,稳定生猪市场价格;建立市场信息公开平台,引导养殖户合理安排生产;加大养殖技术推广力度,推动规模养殖发展建议。 In order to stabilize the pig market and reduce the risk of pig breeding for farmers, the author first analyzes the current situation of pork price fluctuation and pig slaughter in our country from 2000 to 2014. Then, using the time series analysis method, the paper analyzes the fluctuation of pork price and pig slaughter in China Change the dynamic relevance. Based on the conclusion, it is proposed to promote the large-scale breeding of pigs and stabilize the market price of pigs; to establish an open market information platform to guide farmers to make rational arrangements for production; to increase the promotion of breeding technologies and promote the development of large-scale breeding.