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克莱恩公司2013年10月发布报告,指出到2017年III类基础油将出现强劲增长,其次是II类基础油,I类基础油需求将持续下降,因为它不能使调合的润滑油符合新的标准。克莱恩估计,2012年润滑油基础油供应约为3820万t。其中,I类基础油能力仍占总量的一半以上,II/II+类基础油略高于1/4,其余为III/III+和环烷基油。目前,II类和III类基础油市场过剩,高性能基础油的供应远远超过技术需求。
Kline’s October 2013 report states that there will be strong growth in Category III base oils by 2017, followed by Group II base oils, which will continue to see demand for Type I base oils continue to decline as it does not align blended lubricants with new Standard. Kline estimates that 2012 base oil supply of lubricants is about 38.2 million tons. Among them, the Class I base oil capacity still accounted for more than half of the total, II / II + class base oil slightly higher than 1/4, the rest III / III + and naphthenic oil. At present, the Group II and III base oil market surplus, high-performance base oil supply far exceeds the technical requirements.