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房地产投资具有周期长、投入资金量大的特点,导致了房地产市场走势和投资收益的高度不确定性。要避免房地产投资的高风险,必须对房地产投资过程中可能出现的种种风险和不确定性因素做出较为精确的定性和定量分析。本文基于专家学者所做的研究,对蒙特卡罗方法在房地产投资多因素风险分析中的应用进行了一定的探索,并应用案例对该方法的可行性进行了验证。
Real estate investment has a long cycle, a large amount of capital investment characteristics, led to the real estate market trends and investment returns a high degree of uncertainty. To avoid the high risk of real estate investment, we must make a more accurate qualitative and quantitative analysis of the various risks and uncertainties that may arise in the real estate investment process. Based on the research done by experts and scholars, this paper explores the application of Monte Carlo method in multi-factor risk analysis of real estate investment. The feasibility of this method is verified with the application case.