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2012年,变局下的中国经济的新走势如何,很多有识之士都在思考着这个敏感的问题。2011年12月29日,中国财经高峰论坛在沈阳举行。著名经济学家李稻葵、陈淮、马光远和作者本人在大会作了主题发言。大家分析,主要还是在经济形势比较严峻的时刻,每个人都要对2012年以及今后一段时间要有一些基本的预策和判断。也就是说,在极大的不确定性中努力寻求确定性。2012年中央经济工作会议也提出,今后经济形势很难判断,具有不确定性。的确,全球经济复苏受阻、资本流动变异、国内各种刺激政策全面回收、经济增速逐季回落、通胀压力高位回旋、金融风险上扬、结构刚性持续等足以说明发展具有不确定生。
In 2012, with the new trend of the Chinese economy under changing circumstances, many people of insight are thinking about this sensitive issue. December 29, 2011, China Finance Summit held in Shenyang. Famous economists Li Daokui, Chen Huai, Ma Guangyuan and the author made keynote speeches in the conference. As we all know, mainly at the moment when the economic situation is grim, everyone should have some basic plans and judgments for 2012 and some time to come. In other words, try to seek certainty in a great deal of uncertainty. In 2012, the Central Economic Work Conference also proposed that it is difficult to judge the economic situation in the future and it is uncertain. Indeed, the global economic recovery has been hindered, the capital flow has fluctuated, the various domestic stimulus policies have been fully recovered, the economic growth has been slowed down quarter by quarter, the high inflationary pressure has swirled up, the financial risks have risen, and the structural rigidity has persisted. This shows that the development has uncertainties.