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对当前经济形势及其发展趋向如何分析判断,不仅涉及到下半年治理整顿方针的实施,而且对制定“八五”计划具有重要影响。目前,对经济形势存在两种意见。一种意见认为,工业增长速度逐步回升和物价平稳标志着国民经济已经和正在走出低谷。尽管仍面临很多困难,但经济运行中的基本危险已经消除,治理整顿可以告一段落。现在应当利用这一有利时机,尽快推出改革措施。另一种意见认为,治理整顿初期控制需求总量的目标已经基本实现,但结构调整机制尚未启动,经济生活深层次的矛盾仍未解决,
How to analyze and judge the current economic situation and its development trend involves not only the implementation of the guidelines on governance and reorganization in the second half of the year but also the important influence on the formulation of the Eighth Five-Year Plan. At present, there are two opinions on the economic situation. According to one opinion, the gradual recovery of industrial growth and the steady price stabilization have marked that the national economy has been and is coming out of the doldrums. Although still facing many difficulties, the basic dangers in the economic operation have been eliminated and rectification and control can come to an end. It is time to take advantage of this favorable opportunity to launch reform measures as soon as possible. Another view was that the objective of controlling the total demand for control in the initial phase of rectification and control has basically been achieved, but the structural adjustment mechanism has not yet started and the deep-rooted contradictions in economic life remain unresolved.