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竞争格局悄然生变现实是严峻的。近日,世界贸易组织(WTO)发表的全球贸易风险分析报告,将今年全球贸易增速预期由此前的3.7%调至2.5%,并将2013年全球贸易增速预期由此前的5.6%调至4.5%。这预示着自金融危机爆发以来,世界贸易流量大幅增加的“黄金时代”已基本终结。受欧洲债务危机和新兴经济体经济减速的严重影响,全球需求的引擎已然减速;同时,崛起的新兴经济体多采取出口导向模式,一些新兴经济体生产成本低于中国,正在替代中国的部分出口产品。
The reality of the quiet change in the competitive landscape is grim. Recently, the World Trade Organization (WTO) published a report on the analysis of global trade risks that the global trade growth this year is expected to be adjusted from 3.7% to 2.5%, and the global trade growth in 2013 is expected to be revised from the previous 5.6% to 4.5% %. This indicates that the “golden age” of the drastic increase in world trade flows since the outbreak of the financial crisis has basically ended. Affected by the debt crisis in Europe and the economic slowdown in emerging economies, the engines of global demand are already slowing down. At the same time, the emerging emerging economies are more export oriented. Some emerging economies have lower production costs than China and are now replacing some of China’s exports product.