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美苏的科学家们说,他们利用推导出的一种数学公式已接近预报强地震,该公式推导出20次大地震中的16次地震前的某些地震图像。加州大学洛杉矶分校的地球物理学教授诺波夫说:“这是在时间和空间上向预报大地震迈进了一步。”诺波夫也是发表在英国《自然》杂志上此项研究的作者之一。这个新方法还未被用来预报地震,而科学家们也不能用此方法预报地震发生的精确时间和地点。但是诺波夫说,此方法能使科学家们作出更多的一般地震预报,如预报说,一广大地区的某地3年内很可能发生一次强烈地震。这对目前科学家们的能力来说,可以说是一个进展。现在科学家们基本上局限于作出长期预测。如美国地质调查局1988年7月预报,在30年内,加州南部圣安德烈斯断层发生一次里氏
US and Soviet scientists say they are using a derived mathematical formula to predict near-earthquakes that yield some of the seismic images before 16 of the 20 major earthquakes. “It is a step in time and space toward predicting the earthquakes,” said Novop, a professor of geophysics at the University of California, Los Angeles. "Norop is also one of the authors of the study published in the journal Nature in the UK . This new method has not been used to predict earthquakes, and scientists can not use this method to predict the precise time and place of an earthquake. However, Novob said that this method enables scientists to make more general earthquake predictions, predicting that a strong earthquake is likely to occur somewhere in a vast area for three years. This is an improvement on the capabilities of current scientists. Now scientists are basically limited to making long-term predictions. As predicted by the United States Geological Survey in July 1988, within 30 years, a Triassic fault occurred in the San Andres Fault in southern California