一、“低谷现象”与“低谷论”的来由自1988年以来,新闻界对图书馆事业颇为关注,本着对中国图书馆事业发展前途的担忧,连续发出了一系列的呼吁:《中国文化报》1988年2月10日发表了记者陈小雄的通讯《我国图书馆事业面临萎缩危险》;1988年6月8日又发表署名朱计晨的报道《河北沧州地区图书馆事业亟待发展》。到1989年,这类报道有增无减。《湖南日报》1989年2月3日发表《图书馆不订报纸杂志读者犯愁》的消息;接着《光明日报》1989年2月25日头版就此刊出报道《怪事一 I. The Cause of “Trough Phenomena” and “Trough Theory” Since 1988, the press has paid close attention to the cause of libraries. In line with the concerns about the future development of the cause of Chinese libraries, a series of appeals have been issued continuously: China Culture Daily “published a reporter’s communication” China’s library cause is in danger of shrinking “on February 10, 1988; and another article entitled” The Library Cause in Hebei Cangzhou Area Urgently to be Developed “was published on June 8, 1988. By 1989, such reports were on the rise. On March 3, 1989, Hunan Daily published a message that ”libraries do not subscribe to newspapers and magazines.“ Then Guangming Daily published a front page on February 25, 1989. ”Weird one