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在政策托底、房市升温、简政放权等多重因素作用下,上半年中国经济运行总体平稳,企业效益改善,“三去”(去产能、去库存、去杠杆)取得新进展。但民间投资下滑、东北等地区转型艰难,经济下行压力依然较大。预计二季度GDP增长6.7%左右,增速与一季度基本持平。下半年,美国经济预期不佳、全球贸易低增长等,使得全球经济不确定性增加,中国经济外部环境难言乐观。国内经济需求疲弱、财政金融风险增大,经济短期扭转困局的难度较大。综合分析,三季度我国GDP增长在6.7%左右,全年增
Under the influence of multiple policies such as policy backing, warming of housing market and simplification of power and decentralization, the overall economic performance of China was stable in the first half of the year with the improvement of enterprise efficiency. New progress was made in the “three-go” (going to production, inventory, and leverage). However, the decline in private investment and the difficult transformation in northeast China have made the downward pressure on the economy still larger. Expected second quarter GDP growth of about 6.7%, the same growth rate and the first quarter. In the second half of the year, the poor economic conditions in the United States and the low global trade will make the global economic uncertainty more uncertain and the external environment of China’s economy will hardly be optimistic. Weak domestic demand and increasing financial and financial risks make it more difficult for the economy to reverse the downturn in the short term. According to a comprehensive analysis, China’s GDP growth in the third quarter was about 6.7%, increasing throughout the year