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规律,是一切发展所必须遵守的法则,房地产市场也有其独特的规律。有专家认为,我国房地产的开发周期少则2~3年,多则5~6年,那么,隔4~6年就会出现一个供给高峰。据此推测,房地产业在1998~2003年之间部分地区有可能会出现一个低谷,或者说,出现一个盘整期。 在加入WTO、申奥成功的大好形势下,京城房地产市场从2001年下半年开始却出现了一个发展的低谷,而颓势已持续到了2002年上半年,这种现象似乎正与上述周期理论相印证。各种迹象表明,北京的房地产市场正在走入买方市场时代。
The law is the law that must be followed in all developments. The real estate market also has its own unique law. Some experts believe that China’s real estate development cycle as little as 2 to 3 years, as many as 5 to 6 years, then, every 4 to 6 years there will be a supply peak. According to this speculation, real estate in some areas between 1998 and 2003 there may be a downturn, or that there is a consolidation period. Under the favorable situation of joining the WTO and the successful bidding for the Olympics, the real estate market in Beijing has experienced a trough of development since the second half of 2001 and the decline has lasted till the first half of 2002. This phenomenon seems to be confirmed with the above-mentioned cycle theory. Various indications show that Beijing’s real estate market is entering the era of buyer’s market.