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目的探讨厦门市居民溺水死亡变化趋势,为厦门市溺水综合防治工作提供依据。方法收集2005~2014年厦门市居民溺水死亡资料,计算死亡率、死亡率年均变化百分比等评价指标,用多因素Logistic回归分析溺水死亡的影响因素。结果 2005~2014年,厦门市居民溺水死亡率1.71/10万,标化死亡率1.77/10万,男性死亡率是女性的1.99倍,男性标化死亡率是女性的2.05倍;Logistic多因素显示:男性(OR=2.02,95%CI为1.60~2.57)、城乡(OR=0.46,95%CI为0.37~0.58)、年龄(OR=1.05,95%CI为1.02~1.08)是溺水死亡的危险因素。结论厦门市居民溺水死亡水平维持在平稳水平,仍旧不能放松警惕,未来应以农村、男性、儿童和老年人群为重点宣教和保护对象。
Objective To explore the trend of death of drowning in Xiamen City and provide evidence for the comprehensive prevention and treatment of drowning in Xiamen city. Methods Data of death from drowning in Xiamen residents from 2005 to 2014 were collected, and the indicators of mortality and annual percentage of death were calculated. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors of death from drowning. Results From 2005 to 2014, the death rate of drowning in Xiamen residents was 1.71 / 100 000, the standardized death rate was 1.77 / 100 000, the male mortality rate was 1.99 times higher than that of female and the male standard mortality rate was 2.05 times higher than that of female; Logistic multivariate analysis (OR = 2.02, 95% CI: 1.60-2.57), urban (OR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.37-0.58), and age (OR = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02-1.08) were the risk of death from drowning factor. Conclusion The death level of drowning in Xiamen residents remains at a stable level, and vigilance can not be relaxed. In the future, the target of rural education, men, children and the elderly should be the target of education and protection.