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世界经济形势最近,以美国经济为首的世界经济受各国政府的经济扶持政策的实施、消费及投资信心的加强、股价的上涨等有利因素的刺激,呈现出缓慢复苏的迹象,预计下半年将继续维持这种恢复态势。在消费和设备投资的增加、住房行情的持续好转等有利因素的刺激下,第二季度美国经济增长2.4%,呈现出明显的复苏特征。下半年,在股价上涨所引发的财富效应(wealth ef-fect)和减税政策的刺激下,美国国内消费将继续增长,美国经济也将持续增长。但是也有一些投资银行持不同观点,他们认为:受居民储蓄率较低、劳动市场不稳定、企业负债率较高等结构性因素的影响,消费和投资的回暖将受到制约,经济增长幅度也不会太大。欧元区的消费和投资在低利率、低通货膨胀、股价上涨等因素刺激下,呈现出微弱的复苏迹象,但是整体经济状况尚属低迷状态,今年第一
World Economic Situation Recently, the world economy led by the U.S. economy has been showing signs of slow recovery due to the favorable economic stimulus policies of various governments, the strengthening of consumer and investment confidence and the rise of share prices. It is estimated that the second half of the year will continue Maintain this recovery. Stimulated by the favorable factors such as the increase in investment in consumption and equipment and the continuous improvement in housing prices, the U.S. economy grew 2.4% in the second quarter, showing a clear recovery feature. In the second half of the year, domestic consumption in the United States will continue to grow and the U.S. economy will continue to grow under the stimulation of wealth ef-fect and tax cuts triggered by rising stock prices. However, some investment banks also hold different viewpoints. They think that due to the structural factors such as low household savings rate, labor market instability and high corporate debt ratio, the pick-up in consumption and investment will be restricted and the rate of economic growth will not be affected Too big. Eurozone consumption and investment showed signs of weak recovery under the stimulation of factors such as low interest rates, low inflation and rising share prices. However, the overall economic situation is still sluggish. This year’s first