一、引言 江泽民在纪念中国共产党成立七十周年的讲话中指出:“现在,旧的世界格局已经打破,新的格局尚未形成,世界处于新旧交替的动荡时期。”目前世界格局的变化,主要是以东欧的巨变和苏联的解体为标志的;两极格局的瓦解实际上是苏联、东欧一极的坍塌所致。而这一次世界性格局的变动与本世纪前两次格局的变化不同。首先,它是在没有发生世界大战的情况下出现 I. INTRODUCTION In his speech commemorating the 70th anniversary of the founding of the Chinese Communist Party, Jiang Zemin pointed out: “Now that the old world pattern has been broken and the new pattern has not yet taken shape, the world is in a period of turmoil alternating with the old and the new.” The current changes in the world pattern are mainly Marked by the tremendous changes in Eastern Europe and the disintegration of the Soviet Union; the collapse of the bipolar pattern was in fact caused by the collapse of the Soviet Union and one pole in Eastern Europe. This time, the changes in the world pattern are different from the changes in the two previous patterns of this century. First, it did not happen in the case of World War II