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我们研究所最近正在完成一项研究,就是对过去30年的中国经济的增长和各种要素、因素进行分析,经济学上用计量的方法来研究究竟哪些因素对过去中国经济的增长作出贡献。做这个研究也是为了进一步分析哪些因素在今后还存在不存在,它的贡献还会不会持续,哪些贡献可能会少一点,哪些贡献多一点。当然未来还有未来的新的因素。当然过去的因素还会继续存在。希望用定量的方法来论证,中国经济是不是还能不能继续增长,当然预测是有风险的事情,但是我们尽量想提供分析的基础,如果这些因素还继续存在的话,那么中国未来的增长还是有保证的。
Our institute is currently completing a study to analyze China’s economic growth over the past 30 years and various factors and factors and to economically measure what factors contribute to China’s economic growth in the past. This study is also to further analyze what factors in the future there is still no existence, its contribution will not last, what contribution may be less, which contribute a little more. Of course there are future new factors in the future. Of course, the past factors will continue to exist. We hope that we can use the quantitative method to prove whether China’s economy can still continue to grow. Of course, the forecast is a risky thing. However, we try to provide the basis for analysis. If these factors continue to exist, then China’s future growth will still be Guaranteed.